Market Newsletter · September 2026

GeorgetownSingle-Family HomesMarket Snapshot

By Lauren A. Petty, REALTOR®/Brokered by eXp Realty

Source: Unlock MLS · Austin Board of REALTORS®

01Overview

Executive Summary

Georgetown's single-family housing market shifted noticeably toward buyers in September 2026 compared with August. Active inventory increased to 1,178 homes, up 6.0%, while closed transactions declined to 205, down 26.3% month over month. This combination increased estimated months of inventory from 4.00 to 5.75 and reduced the absorption rate from 25.0% to 17.4% — moving Georgetown from a Balanced Market in August to a Buyer-Leaning Market in September.

Pricing also softened. The closed median price declined 4.3% to $410,000, while the average closed price fell 3.0% to approximately $494,865. Pending prices moved lower as well, indicating near-term closings may continue to reflect increased buyer negotiating leverage. At the same time, seller-paid buyer closing costs increased considerably and closed homes took longer to sell — sellers are increasingly competing through both price and concessions.

Closed Sales
205
-26.3% vs August
Months of Inventory
5.75
+43.8% vs August
Absorption Rate
17.4%
-7.6 pp vs August
Median Sale Price
$410,000
-4.3% vs August
02By the Numbers

September 2026 Market Snapshot

September produced substantially fewer closed transactions while available inventory continued to expand. Pending listings increased modestly, but the decline in Under Contract listings suggests the pipeline remains mixed. No-HOA homes (189, +15.2%) and homes under $300k (75, +11.9%) both expanded faster than total inventory, giving buyers more options.

Listing Activity

Pipeline Mix

Price & Performance

Closed Median
$410,000
Closed Average
$494,865
Avg $ / Sq Ft
$211.88
Sale-to-List
97.57%
Active Median
$475,000
Active Average
$556,484
Pending Median
$466,999.50
Pending Average
$545,187
Avg Seller Concessions
$6,658
Closed Avg DOM
78.6
Active Avg DOM
95.4
03Neighborhoods

The 3 Fastest Moving Subdivisions

Based on the lowest average days on market among September closed listings. Each result is based on a single closed transaction, so these should be interpreted as individual fast-moving sales rather than evidence every listing in the subdivision will sell as fast.

1
#1 · Instant Sale

Nolen Add

0.0Avg DOM
2
#2 · Instant Sale

Ridge/Cross Crk Ph 4

0.0Avg DOM
3
#3 · Instant Sale

Sun City Georgetown Ph 01 Nbrhd 08B

1.0Avg DOM
04Velocity

Inventory and Velocity Trend

Months of Inventory

5.75↑ from 4.00 in August

Absorption Rate

17.4%↓ from 25.0% in August

Market Classification

Buyer-Leaning Market — shifted from Balanced in August

September's 17.4% absorption rate and 5.75 months of inventory both fall directly within the buyer-leaning range (15%–19% absorption; 5.1–7.0 months). August's 25.0% absorption and 4.00 months both sat within the balanced range. The move from about four to nearly six months of inventory — driven by more active listings and fewer closings — is one of the strongest indicators of increasing buyer leverage.

05Month over Month

September vs. August Comparison

Listing Activity

Pricing (USD)

Closed sales
278 → 205
-26.3%
Expired listings
41 → 44
+7.3%
Withdrawn listings
100 → 77
-23.0%
Active listings
1,111 → 1,178
+6.0%
Pending listings
187 → 196
+4.8%
Under contract
122 → 98
-19.7%
Homes without HOA
164 → 189
+15.2%
Homes < $300k
67 → 75
+11.9%
Closed median price
$428,450 → $410,000
-4.3%
Closed average price
$510,028 → $494,865
-3.0%
Avg $ / Sq Ft (closed)
$221.08 → $211.88
-4.2%
Avg seller concessions
$5,263 → $6,658
+26.5%
Sale-to-List %
97.66% → 97.57%
-0.10 pp
Active median price
$477,190 → $475,000
-0.5%
Active average price
$560,192 → $556,484
-0.7%
Pending median price
$495,999 → $466,999.50
-5.8%
Pending average price
$565,474 → $545,187
-3.6%
Closed Avg DOM
62.3 → 78.6
+26.3%
Active Avg DOM
102.0 → 95.4
-6.5%
Months of inventory
4.00 → 5.75
+43.8%
Absorption rate
25.0% → 17.4%
-7.6 pp
07Looking Ahead

Forecasting Prediction

Based exclusively on the August and September 2026 MLS datasets, Georgetown is likely to remain Buyer-Leaning next month unless the pace of closings accelerates materially or active inventory declines.

Why

  • Rising inventory, declining absorption, and increasing months of inventory.
  • Lower closed and pending prices and longer closed-market times.
  • Higher seller-paid buyer closing costs.
  • The 4.8% rise in Pending may help stabilize volume, but the 19.7% drop in Under Contract makes a strong immediate rebound less certain.

Data-based expectations

  • Continued elevated inventory relative to sales velocity.
  • Buyer negotiating leverage remaining stronger than in August.
  • Ongoing use of seller concessions.
  • Continued price sensitivity among buyers.
  • Potential additional pressure on closed median and average pricing.
  • Greater importance of competitive pricing for sellers seeking shorter market times.

Watch next month: whether the increase in Pending listings converts into enough closings to improve absorption and reduce months of inventory.

Crystal ball
Disclaimer: My predictions are bar any unforeseen events causing outliers — and it's possible my crystal ball may not be functioning properly.
08Let's Talk

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Data source

Unlock MLS

Austin Board of REALTORS®

Report period: September 2026 · Georgetown, TX · Single-Family Homes

Lauren A. Petty, REALTOR®

Lauren A. Petty, REALTOR®

Brokered by eXp Realty

I'm a professional analyst and project manager now a REALTOR®, serving the information without sales-talk. That's exactly how I support buyers and sellers: strategy and calm so you can make clear decisions.

How I Work

  • Deep knowledge of Austin-area neighborhoods, schools, and market trends — grounded in data-driven analysis
  • Project-managed precision so details don't slip
  • Plan-first approach: clear timelines, decision points, and what happens next
  • Personalized relocation assistance and community orientation
  • Negotiation strategy on price + terms (concessions, option period, repairs, timelines)
  • Network of local service providers and resources